CCTA View Politics

This is an archived post from 3 July 2017.

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As tiresome as it might be, it is hard to get off the topic of national politics at the moment.  Every day Parliament serves up new drama and a kaleidoscope of uncertainty.

On the Conservative side, last week brought U-Turns on flagship economic policy led by Cabinet ministers, not the Prime Minister.  On the Labour side, intra-party rebellion followed by multiple frontbench sackings.

In normal times, these would be catastrophic to any party, but these are not normal times.  It all begs the question, how long can it last?

The deepest fault line is, of course, Brexit. As Adam Boulton pointed out in yesterday’s Sunday Times, we have a paradoxical situation in Parliament. Neither party’s manifesto commands a majority of MPs and yet, with the passing of the Queen’s Speech on Thursday, the country is on course for exactly the kind of Hard Brexit advocated by Theresa May when she triggered Article 50 at the height of her powers in March.

This despite over 70% of MPs thinking that leaving the EU is a bad idea that will hurt the nation’s prosperity. If anything, the pro-EU majority increased at the election.

Whatever your personal preferences with regard to Brexit, it is hard to see this fault line holding between now and MPs’ “meaningful vote” on the final deal in two years time. Westminster has become an earthquake zone.

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